How Red Sea Diversions Impact Shipping Times in 2026

04.02.2026

For over two years, the global shipping industry has faced one of its most significant challenges: the Red Sea crisis. As we move through February 2026, many carriers continue to avoid the Suez Canal, opting for the longer journey around Africa’s Cape of Good Hope.

For international car dealers and buyers, this shift isn't just about geography—it’s about time, cost, and predictability.

The Delay Factor: How Much Longer?

Rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope adds approximately 3,500 to 4,000 nautical miles to a standard journey from the U.S. East Coast to the Middle East or Asia.

  • Transit Time Increase: On average, shipments are taking 10 to 14 days longer than the traditional Suez Canal route.

  • Current Status: While some carriers (like Maersk and CMA CGM) have tested a return to the Red Sea in early 2026, most structural schedules for 2026 remain based on the Cape route to ensure "predictable" delays rather than "unpredictable" risks.

Why Predictability Trumps Speed

In 2026, the logistics market has shifted its focus. According to industry analysts at Xeneta and Freightos, "volatility is more disruptive than delays".

  • By committing to the Cape route, shipping lines can offer stable planning cycles.

  • Even though the trip is longer, dealers can now plan their inventory arrivals with 90% accuracy, compared to the chaos of 2024 when ships were stuck or diverted mid-voyage.

The Financial Impact: Surcharges & Insurance

The longer route increases fuel consumption and operational costs.

  • Bunker Adjustment Factors (BAF): Shippers often face surcharges to cover the extra fuel needed for the additional 14 days at sea.

  • Insurance Premiums: Avoiding the Red Sea significantly lowers "war risk" premiums, which soared to $500,000 per voyage at the height of the crisis, making the Cape route economically safer for high-value cargo like 2026 luxury vehicles.